Published on April 21, 2026
Nipun Capital’s Chief Investment Officer, Pooja Malik, recently highlighted a potential economic upheaval linked to oil supply. With tensions rising, she is particularly concerned about the risks associated with a blockade in the Strait of Hormuz, which could push oil prices to $100 a barrel. Such a dramatic shift threatens to spike U.S. inflation by 90 basis points, creating ripple effects felt across emerging markets.
In a portfolio managing $2 billion, Malik anticipates that a disruption lasting one to two months would hit emerging market equities the hardest. The Federal Reserve, already navigating a complex economic landscape, would face additional pressure to adopt a more cautious approach. Investors are left grappling with the volatility and uncertainty inherent in this scenario.
To counter the impending challenges, Malik has identified strategic areas for investment. She points to structural opportunities in China, advancements in AI supply chains, and the upstream oil sector in Saudi Arabia as viable pathways. However, Malik remains cautious about broad exposure in South Asia, where risks may overshadow potential gains.
Despite short-term shifts favoring fossil fuels, Malik emphasizes the enduring demand for clean energy as a crucial long-term driver. Her insights reflect a balancing act between navigating immediate market turbulence and positioning for a sustainable future amidst evolving global energy dynamics.
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